Named technique and original experiment
Charles G. Lord, Mark R. Lepper and Elizabeth Preston (1984), Considering the Opposite: A Corrective Strategy for Social Judgment, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 47(6), 1231–1243. Article record; DOI.
Contribution: explicitly considering an opposing possibility was tested as a corrective for biased social judgment. This is a direct source for the named intervention, not a claim that its authors invented skepticism.
Adaptation boundary
The forecast crux ledger, source-origin checks and agent self-critique protocol are adaptations. The 1984 experiment does not establish a quantified accuracy improvement for an LLM using this pack. Its findings should not be generalized to every bias or domain.
Source links checked for bibliographic grounding on 2026-09-15. Access may vary; linked full papers are not redistributed. The operational instructions and examples are newly written, not quotations from the authors.